Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.113361 0.121684 0.130306 0.139910 0.150315 0.161253 0.173633
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.098386 0.110422 0.123522 0.138866 0.156380 0.175787 0.198975
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.088937 0.102849 0.118504 0.137479 0.159928 0.185728 0.217750
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080664 0.095528 0.112705 0.134107 0.160173 0.191033 0.230549
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076836 0.092936 0.111986 0.136313 0.166724 0.203709 0.252435
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071615 0.088197 0.108223 0.134342 0.167742 0.209323 0.265487
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067420 0.084402 0.105290 0.133068 0.169333 0.215465 0.279230
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062832 0.079810 0.101039 0.129763 0.167965 0.217517 0.287455
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059525 0.076657 0.098415 0.128344 0.168863 0.222409 0.299520
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057173 0.074605 0.097076 0.128482 0.171736 0.229939 0.315420
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054209 0.071583 0.094284 0.126471 0.171499 0.233099 0.325211
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051972 0.069424 0.092528 0.125746 0.172933 0.238537 0.338389
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051336 0.069463 0.093812 0.129377 0.180770 0.253541 0.366544
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049127 0.067230 0.091865 0.128349 0.181882 0.258927 0.380737
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047011 0.065026 0.089842 0.127083 0.182523 0.263564 0.393916
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044473 0.062113 0.086682 0.123995 0.180282 0.263736 0.400103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043670 0.061648 0.086998 0.126015 0.185745 0.275723 0.425382
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041791 0.059541 0.084833 0.124210 0.185265 0.278514 0.436021
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040214 0.057812 0.083149 0.123044 0.185682 0.282663 0.448999
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038219 0.055387 0.080334 0.120015 0.183025 0.281784 0.453526
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036804 0.053781 0.078686 0.118716 0.183027 0.285116 0.465226
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035841 0.052820 0.077974 0.118842 0.185294 0.292182 0.483599
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034431 0.051125 0.076075 0.116999 0.184265 0.293746 0.492452